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1.
BMJ Open ; 14(4): e071036, 2024 Apr 15.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38626959

OBJECTIVE: Estimate the incremental costs and benefits of scaling up hypertension care in adults in 24 select countries, using three different systolic blood pressure (SBP) treatment cut-off points-≥140, ≥150 and ≥160 mm Hg. INTERVENTION: Strengthening the hypertension care cascade compared with status quo levels, with pharmacological treatment administered at different cut-points depending on the scenario. TARGET POPULATION: Adults aged 30+ in 24 low-income and middle-income countries spanning all world regions. PERSPECTIVE: Societal. TIME HORIZON: 30 years. DISCOUNT RATE: 4%. COSTING YEAR: 2020 USD. STUDY DESIGN: DATA SOURCES: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's Epi Visualisations database-country-specific cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence, prevalence and death rates. Mean SBP and prevalence-National surveys and NCD-RisC. Treatment protocols-WHO HEARTS. Treatment impact-academic literature. Costs-national and international databases. OUTCOME MEASURES: Health outcomes-averted stroke and myocardial infarction events, deaths and disability-adjusted life-years; economic outcomes-averted health expenditures, value of averted mortality and workplace productivity losses. RESULTS OF ANALYSIS: Across 24 countries, over 30 years, incremental scale-up of hypertension care for adults with SBP≥140 mm Hg led to 2.6 million averted CVD events and 1.2 million averted deaths (7% of expected CVD deaths). 68% of benefits resulted from treating those with very high SBP (≥160 mm Hg). 10 of the 12 highest-income countries projected positive net benefits at one or more treatment cut-points, compared with 3 of the 12 lowest-income countries. Treating hypertension at SBP≥160 mm Hg maximised the net economic benefit in the lowest-income countries. LIMITATIONS: The model only included a few hypertension-attributable diseases and did not account for comorbid risk factors. Modelled scenarios assumed ambitious progress on strengthening the care cascade. CONCLUSIONS: In areas where economic considerations might play an outsized role, such as very low-income countries, prioritising treatment to populations with severe hypertension can maximise benefits net of economic costs.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Hypertension , Adult , Humans , Blood Pressure , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Developing Countries , Hypertension/drug therapy , Hypertension/epidemiology
5.
J Hum Hypertens ; 2023 Apr 19.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37076570

Hypertension is a leading preventable and controllable risk factor for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases and the leading preventable risk for death globally. With a prevalence of nearly 50% and 93% of cases uncontrolled, very little progress has been made in detecting, treating, and controlling hypertension in Africa over the past thirty years. We propose the African Control of Hypertension through Innovative Epidemiology and a Vibrant Ecosystem (ACHIEVE) to implement the HEARTS package for improved surveillance, prevention, treatment/acute care of hypertension, and rehabilitation of those with hypertension complications across the life course. The ecosystem will apply the principles of an iterative implementation cycle by developing and deploying pragmatic solutions through the contextualization of interventions tailored to navigate barriers and enhance facilitators to deliver maximum impact through effective communication and active participation of all stakeholders in the implementation environment. Ten key strategic actions are proposed for implementation to reduce the burden of hypertension in Africa.

7.
Digital Chinese Medicine ; (4): 295-306, 2023.
Article En | WPRIM | ID: wpr-997733

Objective@# The present study was aimed to investigate the neuroprotective effect of Croton hirtus (CH) extract against streptozotocin (STZ) in rats. @*Methods@#(i) The sub-chronic toxicity consisted of 24 adult rats of either sex weighing from 160 to 200 g were divided into four groups with six rats in each group. Rats in group 1 received Dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) mixed with saline; rats in groups 2, 3, and 4 received 100, 200, and 400 mg/kg of methanolic extract of CH (MECH) orally by gavage administration for 28 d, respectively. The functional observation battery and locomotor activity were graded as part of their neurobehavioral activity and the brain regions, including cortex and hippocampus, were analyzed for neuropathological abnormalities. (ii) The main research consisted of 30 adult male Wistar rats weighing from 160 to 200 g, which were divided into five groups and six rats in each group, including control (I), STZ (II), Donepezil (III), MECH (100 mg/kg, IV), and MECH (200 mg/kg, V) groups. Rats in group I received citrate buffer orally and DMSO mixed with saline for 14 d. Rats in group II received STZ via intracerebroventricular injection (3 mg/kg, bilateral ICV-STZ) on days 1 and 3 followed by DMSO mixed with saline for 14 d. Rats in groups III, IV, and V received STZ administration on days 1 and 3 followed by Donepezil [3 mg/(kg·d), p.o.] and MECH [100 and 200 mg/(kg·d), p.o.] for 14 d. Rats were tested for learning and memory parameters such as Morris water maze (MWM) and passive avoidance test (PAT). They were sacrificed after completing behavioural experiments; brains were harvested to estimate the acetylcholinesterase (AChE), lipid peroxidation (LPO), glutathione (GSH), and superoxide dismutase (SOD) by using UV-Visible Spectrophotometer; caspase-3 was evaluated by total fluorescence emission spectra; amyloid β (Aβ) levels were detected using enzyme-linked immuosorbent assay (ELISA); and histopathological examination was conducted in the CA1 region of the hippocampus.@*Results @# (i) The sub-chronic toxicity results revealed that open field test parameters including line crossing, rearing, entering the middle square, defecating, or urinating did not differ significantly in the MECH rats (P > 0.05). The histopathological observation did not show any lesions in the neuronal cells and inflammation in both the regions in MECH rats compared with control rats. (ii) The main study findings demonstrated that STZ-treated rats showed asignificant increase in impairment in learning and memory parameters (P < 0.001), the levels of AChE, caspase-3, Aβ (1-40 and 1-42), and LPO were increased significantly (P < 0.001), and significant decrease was found in the levels of SOD (P < 0.001) and GSH (P < 0.01). Moreover, neuronal damage was found in the hippocampus. In contrast, STZ-induced behavioural and biochemical impairments in rats were considerably decreased by treatment with MECH dose-dependently. @*Conclusion@#MECH significantly prevented the memory deficit induced by STZ due to antioxidant action. Restoration of cholinergic functioning may be the cause of behavioural improvement. Therefore, MECH may be able to treat cognitive disorders like Alzheimer's disease (AD).

8.
Glob Heart ; 17(1): 64, 2022.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36199565

Introduction: Timely, affordable, and sustained interventions reduce the risk of heart attack or Stroke in people with a high total risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Risk prediction tools are available to estimate the cardiovascular risk using information on multiple variables. CVD risk charts prepared by the World Health Organization (WHO) has laboratory-based and non-laboratory-based charts with the latter meant for use in resource limited settings. We conducted a study to determine concordance between the laboratory- and non-laboratory risk charts and to estimate the prevalence of selected CVD risk factors in a rural Indian population. Methods: A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in rural area of Ballabgarh in district Faridabad, Haryana. Sample of 1,018 participants aged 30-69 years was selected randomly from study area. Information on CVDs risk factors was obtained using WHO STEPS questionnaire, anthropometry and laboratory investigation. Risk distribution among the study participants was observed. Concordance between laboratory- and non-laboratory-based WHO CVD risk charts was determined using agreement analysis. Results: The mean age of the study participants was 43.9 (8.9) years and 55.6% participants were women. Among various CVD risk factors, hypertension (39.4%) was the major factor followed by overweight (34.1%) was found to be major factor, followed by current smoking (23.6%) and hypercholesterolemia (18.7%). The concordance between the two charts was 83.3% with kappa value of 0.64. Considering laboratory-based charts as the gold standard, the sensitivity and specificity of non-laboratory-based risk charts at 5% risk as cut-off was 86.5% and 90.3% respectively. Conclusion: The study shows a good agreement between the laboratory-based and non-laboratory-based risk charts. Thus non-laboratory-based risk charts are suitable for risk estimation of CVDs for use in resource limited settings like India.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Adult , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Prevalence , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , World Health Organization
9.
BMJ Glob Health ; 7(7)2022 07.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35787510

Globally, non-communicable diseases (NCDs) or chronic conditions account for one-third of disability-adjusted life-years among children and adolescents under the age of 20. Health systems must adapt to respond to the growing burden of NCDs among children and adolescents who are more likely to be marginalised from healthcare access and are at higher risk for poor outcomes. We undertook a review of recent literature on existing models of chronic lifelong care for children and adolescents in low-income and middle-income countries with a variety of NCDs and chronic conditions to summarise common care components, service delivery approaches, resources invested and health outcomes.


Developing Countries , Noncommunicable Diseases , Adolescent , Child , Chronic Disease , Humans , Income , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Noncommunicable Diseases/therapy , Poverty
10.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 32(9): 2129-2136, 2022 09.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35752538

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The World Health Organization has revised the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction charts in 2019 for each of the 21 Global Burden of Disease regions. These charts (non-lab and lab versions) estimate the total CVD risk in an individual, of which the non-lab is for low-resource settings. We aimed to estimate the burden of ten-year risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD event in the district of Puducherry in India using 'non-lab' and 'lab' versions of WHO CVD risk prediction charts, and to evaluate the agreement between them. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 710 individuals aged 40-69 years who participated in a district wide non-communicable diseases survey conducted in Puducherry, India, during 2019-20. Both charts use information on age, gender, systolic blood pressure and smoking status. Additionally, lab-chart requires individual's status on diabetes mellitus and total cholesterol while non-lab requires body mass index. Population in different CVD risk levels was presented using proportions (95% confidence intervals). Agreement between lab and non-lab charts was evaluated using Cohen's Kappa (k). The lab and non-lab charts estimated 3% (95% CI: 1.7-4.2) and none of the population respectively, to have high risk (≥20%) for fatal or non-fatal CVD event over the next ten years. Both the charts showed 89.4% (95% CI:87.2%-91.7%) concordance in CVD risk prediction indicating a good level of agreement (k = 0.653). CONCLUSION: WHO updated CVD risk prediction charts are feasible to apply when data is available and there is good agreement between non-lab and lab based charts.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Humans , India , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , World Health Organization
12.
Hypertension ; 79(9): 1949-1961, 2022 09.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35638381

Hypertension is the leading preventable risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and disability globally. In low- and middle-income countries hypertension has a major social impact, increasing the disease burden and costs for national health systems. The present call to action aims to stimulate all African countries to adopt several solutions to achieve better hypertension management. The following 3 goals should be achieved in Africa by 2030: (1) 80% of adults with high blood pressure in Africa are diagnosed; (2) 80% of diagnosed hypertensives, that is, 64% of all hypertensives, are treated; and (3) 80% of treated hypertensive patients are controlled. To achieve these aims, we call on individuals and organizations from government, private sector, health care, and civil society in Africa and indeed on all Africans to undertake a few specific high priority actions. The aim is to improve the detection, diagnosis, management, and control of hypertension, now considered to be the leading preventable killer in Africa.


Cardiovascular Diseases , Hypertension , Adult , Africa/epidemiology , Black People , Humans , Hypertension/diagnosis , Hypertension/drug therapy , Hypertension/epidemiology , Risk Factors
13.
Nat Med ; 28(4): 649-657, 2022 04.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35440716

Cancer research currently is heavily skewed toward high-income countries (HICs), with little research conducted in, and relevant to, the problems of low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This regional discordance in cancer knowledge generation and application needs to be rebalanced. Several gaps in the research enterprise of LMICs need to be addressed to promote regionally relevant research, and radical rethinking is needed to address the burning issues in cancer care in these regions. We identified five top priorities in cancer research in LMICs based on current and projected needs: reducing the burden of patients with advanced disease; improving access and affordability, and outcomes of cancer treatment; value-based care and health economics; quality improvement and implementation research; and leveraging technology to improve cancer control. LMICs have an excellent opportunity to address important questions in cancer research that could impact cancer control globally. Success will require collaboration and commitment from governments, policy makers, funding agencies, health care organizations and leaders, researchers and the public.


Developing Countries , Neoplasms , Delivery of Health Care , Humans , Income , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Neoplasms/therapy , Poverty , Research
14.
Can J Kidney Health Dis ; 9: 20543581221077505, 2022.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35251672

BACKGROUND: Approximately 78% of chronic kidney disease (CKD) cases reside in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, little is known about the care models for CKD in LMICs. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to update a prior systematic review on CKD care models in LMICs and summarize information on multidisciplinary care and management of CKD complications. DESIGN: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Global Health databases in September 2020, for papers published between January 1, 2017, and September 14, 2020. We used a combination of search terms, which were different iterations of CKD, care models, and LMICs. The World Bank definition (2019) was used to identify LMICs. SETTING: Our review included studies published in LMICs across 4 continents: Africa, Asia, North America (Mexico), and Europe (Ukraine). The study settings included tertiary hospitals (n = 6), multidisciplinary clinics (n = 1), primary health centers (n = 2), referral centers (n = 2), district hospitals (n = 1), teaching hospitals (n = 1), regional hospital (n = 1), and an urban medical center (n = 1). PATIENTS: Eighteen studies met inclusion criteria, and encompassed 4679 patients, of which 4665 were adults. Only 9 studies reported mean eGFR which ranged from 7 to 45.90 ml/min/1.73 m2. MEASUREMENTS: We retrieved the following details about CKD care: funding, urban or rural location, types of health care staff, and type of care provided, as defined by Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines for CKD care. METHODS: We included studies which met the following criteria: (1) population was largely adults, defined as age 18 years and older; (2) most of the study population had CKD, and not end-stage kidney disease (ESKD); (3) population resided in an LMIC as defined by the World Bank; (4) manuscript described in some detail a clinical care model for CKD; (5) manuscript was in either English or French. Animal studies, case reports, comments, and editorials were excluded. RESULTS: Eighteen studies (24 care models with 4665 patients) met inclusion criteria. Out of 24 care models, 20 involved interdisciplinary health care teams. Twenty models incorporated international guidelines for CKD management. However, conservative kidney management (management of kidney failure without dialysis or renal transplant) was in a minority of models (11 of 24). Although there were similarities between all the clinical care models, there was variation in services provided and in funding arrangement; the latter ranged from comprehensive government funding (eg, Sri Lanka, Thailand), to out-of-pocket payments (eg, Benin, Togo). LIMITATIONS: These include (1) lack of detail on CKD care in many of the studies, (2) small number of included studies, (3) using a different definition of care model from the original Stanifer et al paper, and (4) using the KDIGO Guidelines as the standard for defining a CKD care model. CONCLUSIONS: Most of the CKD models of care include the key elements of CKD care. However, access to such care depends on the funding mechanism available. In addition, few models included conservative kidney management, which should be a priority for future investment. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable.


CONTEXTE: Environ 78 % des patients atteints d'insuffisance rénale chronique (IRC) habitent un pays à revenu faible ou intermédiaire (PRFI). On en sait toutefois peu sur les modèles de prise en charge pour l'IRC dans les PRFI. OBJECTIFS: Nous souhaitions faire la mise à jour d'une revue systématique antérieure qui portait sur les modèles de prise en charge pour l'IRC dans les PRFI. Nous voulions également synthétiser l'information concernant les soins multidisciplinaires en IRC et la prise en charge des complications. CONCEPTION DE L'ÉTUDE: En septembre 2020, les bases de données MEDLINE, EMBASE et Global Health ont été consultées à la recherche d'articles publiés entre le 1er janvier 2017 et le 14 septembre 2020. Nous avons utilisé une combinaison de termes de recherche, incluant différentes itérations d'IRC, de modèles de prise en charge et de PRFI. La définition de la Banque mondiale (2019) a été utilisée pour identifier les PRFI. CADRE: Nous avons inclus des études publiées dans des PRFI de quatre continents : Afrique, Asie, Amérique du Nord (Mexique) et Europe (Ukraine). Les études avaient été réalisées dans des hôpitaux tertiaires (N = 6), une clinique multidisciplinaire, des centres de soins primaires (N = 2), des centres d'aiguillage (N = 2), un hôpital communautaire, un hôpital universitaire, un hôpital régional et un centre médical urbain. SUJETS: Les 18 études répondant aux critères d'inclusion portaient sur un total de 4 679 patients, dont 4 665 adultes. Neuf études seulement rapportaient un DFGe moyen, lequel s'étendait de 7 à 45,90 ml/min/1,73 m2. MESURES: Les informations suivantes sur les soins en IRC ont été extraites : financement, établissement urbain ou rural, catégories de personnel soignant et type de soins fournis, définis par les recommandations de KDIGO (Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes) pour la prise en charge d'IRC. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Nous avons inclus les études qui répondaient aux critères suivants : (1) la population étudiée était principalement constituée d'adultes (18 ans et plus); (2) la majorité de la population étudiée était atteinte d'IRC et non d'insuffisance rénale terminale (IRT); (3) la population étudiée habitait un PRFI selon la définition de la Banque mondiale; (4) le manuscrit décrivait avec suffisamment de détails un modèle de soins cliniques pour l'IRC; (5) le manuscrit était rédigé en anglais ou en français. Les études sur les animaux, les rapports de cas, les commentaires et les éditoriaux ont été exclus. RÉSULTATS: 18 études (24 modèles de soins, 4 665 patients) répondaient aux critères d'inclusion. Sur 24 modèles de soins, 20 avaient impliqué des équipes de soins interdisciplinaires. Les recommandations internationales pour la prise en charge de l'IRC avaient été intégrées à 20 modèles de soins. La prise en charge conservatrice de l'IRC (sans dialyse ni greffe rénale) n'était cependant rapportée que dans une minorité de modèles (11/24). Bien que nous ayons noté des similitudes entre tous les modèles de soins cliniques, des variations ont été observées dans les services fournis et dans les modalités de financement; ces dernières allant du financement public complet (p. ex. : Sri Lanka, Thaïlande) aux versements directs par les patients (p. ex. : Bénin, Togo). LIMITES: Les limites comprennent notamment: (1) le manque de détails sur les soins en IRC dans plusieurs études; (2) le faible nombre d'études incluses; (3) l'utilisation d'un modèle de soins dont la définition différait de l'originale présentée par Stanifer et coll.; et (4) l'utilisation des recommandations de KDIGO comme norme pour définir un modèle de soins pour l'IRC. CONCLUSION: La plupart des modèles de soins intégraient les éléments clés des soins recommandés pour l'IRC. L'accès à ces soins dépendait toutefois du mécanisme de financement en place. Cependant, peu de modèles intégraient la prise en charge conservatrice de l'IRC, laquelle devrait être une priorité pour de futurs investissements.

15.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev ; 23(2): 399-407, 2022 Feb 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35225450

OBJECTIVES: Despite being a cheap, easy, and commonly used technique for screening early development of cervical cancer, collective evidence on the effect of visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) for reducing cervical cancer mortality and incidence are conflicting. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the effectiveness of VIA screening on cervical cancer mortality and incidence. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane library (Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews & Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials), World Health Organization's (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and Google Scholar to identify studies conducted among women with no history of cervical cancer that assessed effectiveness of VIA on the cervical cancer mortality and incidence. Random effects model was used to estimate incident rate ratio and sensitivity analysis was conducted using Bayesian methods. RESULTS: Of the included 4 studies, three were cluster randomized trials from India and one was quasi-experimental study done in Thailand. Duration of follow-up ranged from 7 to 12 years. Based on 3 trials, pooled rate-ratio for cervical cancer mortality and all-cause mortality was 0.68 (95% CI: 0.56-0.81, I2=0%) and 0.91 (0.85-0.97, I2=57%), respectively. Pooled rate-ratio of invasive cervical cancer was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.67 - 1.30, I2=84%). Likewise, there was non-significant reduction in incidence of stage IB, >=stage II, and unknown stage cervical cancer. CONCLUSIONS: VIA screening may lead to reduction in cervical cancer and all-cause mortality in long run. However, the effectiveness of VIA in preventing invasive cervical cancer is inconclusive.


Early Detection of Cancer/mortality , Physical Examination/mortality , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/mortality , Acetic Acid , Adult , Bayes Theorem , Cervix Uteri , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Female , Humans , Incidence , India/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Non-Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Physical Examination/methods , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Thailand/epidemiology
16.
Int J Health Policy Manag ; 11(5): 708-710, 2022 05 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34634875

Health systems built on the foundation of primary healthcare (PHC) are essential to achieve universal health coverage (UHC). To adequately respond to the needs of people with non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and enable optimal management in primary care settings, changes are needed at many levels. PHC levers recommended in the UHC framework as the cornerstone of achieving Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) goals by strengthening the primary care system include strategic and operational levers. Experience from hypertension control programs across 18 countries has shown that rapid scale-up can be achieved through systematic improvement of the PHC system brought about by political commitment, financial support, and high-quality people-centred primary care. As countries are gripped with the pandemic the importance of an appropriate and resilient health system fit for the country is emerging as a priority for building preparedness. While there are general principles, each country must learn by doing and scale up models relevant to the national context.


Health Equity , Noncommunicable Diseases , Australia , Humans , Noncommunicable Diseases/prevention & control , Primary Health Care/organization & administration , Sustainable Development , Universal Health Insurance/economics
17.
Bull World Health Organ ; 99(9): 640-652E, 2021 Sep 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34475601

OBJECTIVE: To identify gaps in national stroke guidelines that could be bridged to enhance the quality of stroke care services in low- and middle-income countries. METHODS: We systematically searched medical databases and websites of medical societies and contacted international organizations. Country-specific guidelines on care and control of stroke in any language published from 2010 to 2020 were eligible for inclusion. We reviewed each included guideline for coverage of four key components of stroke services (surveillance, prevention, acute care and rehabilitation). We also assessed compliance with the eight Institute of Medicine standards for clinical practice guidelines, the ease of implementation of guidelines and plans for dissemination to target audiences. FINDINGS: We reviewed 108 eligible guidelines from 47 countries, including four low-income, 24 middle-income and 19 high-income countries. Globally, fewer of the guidelines covered primary stroke prevention compared with other components of care, with none recommending surveillance. Guidelines on stroke in low- and middle-income countries fell short of the required standards for guideline development; breadth of target audience; coverage of the four components of stroke services; and adaptation to socioeconomic context. Fewer low- and middle-income country guidelines demonstrated transparency than those from high-income countries. Less than a quarter of guidelines encompassed detailed implementation plans and socioeconomic considerations. CONCLUSION: Guidelines on stroke in low- and middle-income countries need to be developed in conjunction with a wider category of health-care providers and stakeholders, with a full spectrum of translatable, context-appropriate interventions.


Guidelines as Topic , Stroke/therapy , Australia , Brain Ischemia , Canada , Humans , Stroke/prevention & control
18.
Cancer Treat Rev ; 100: 102290, 2021 Nov.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34536729

With the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) target of a one-third reduction in noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) less than a decade away, it is timely to assess national progress in reducing premature deaths from the two leading causes of mortality worldwide. We examine trends in the probability of dying ages 30-70 from cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer 2000-19 in 10 middle-income (MICs) and 10 high-income (HICs) countries with high quality data. We then predict whether the SDG target will be met in each country for CVD, cancer and for the four main NCDs combined. Downward trends were more evident in HICs relative to the MICs, and for CVD relative to cancer. CVD and cancer declines ranged from 30-60% and 20-30% in HICs over the 20-year period, but progress was less uniform among the MICs. Premature deaths from cancer exceeded CVD in nine of the 10 HICs by 2000 and in all 10 by 2019; in contrast, CVD mortality exceeded cancer in all 10 MICs in 2000 and remained the leading cause in eight countries by 2019. Two of the 10 MICs (Colombia and Kazakhstan) and seven of the HICs (Australia, Chile, Italy, New Zealand, Norway, Slovakia, and the U.K.) are predicted to meet the SDG NCDs target. Whether countries are on course to meet the target by 2030 reflects changing risk factor profiles and the extent to which effective preventative and medical care interventions have been implemented. In addition, lessons can be learned given people living with NCDs are more susceptible to severe COVID-19 illness and death.


Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Global Health/trends , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Sustainable Development , Adult , Aged , Developed Countries , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Socioeconomic Factors
19.
Int J Health Policy Manag ; 10(11): 724-733, 2021 Nov 01.
Article En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34273918

BACKGROUND: To determine the health system costs and health-related benefits of interventions for the prevention and control of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), including mental health disorders, for the purpose of identifying the most cost-effective intervention options in support of global normative guidance on the best-buy interventions for NCDs. In addition, tools are developed to allow country contextualisation of the analyses to support local priority setting exercises. METHODS: This analysis follows the standard WHO-CHOICE (World Health Organization-Choosing Interventions that are Cost-Effective) approach to generalized cost-effectiveness analysis applied to two regions, Eastern sub-Saharan Africa and South-East Asia. The scope of the analysis is all NCD and mental health interventions included in WHO guidelines or guidance documents for which the health impact of the intervention is able to be identified and attributed. Costs are measured in 2010 international dollars, and benefits modelled beginning in 2010, both for a period of 100 years. RESULTS: There are many interventions for NCD prevention and management that are highly cost-effective, generating one year of healthy life for less than Int. $100. These interventions include tobacco and alcohol control policies such as taxation, voluntary and legislative actions to reduce sodium intake, mass media campaigns for reducing physical activity, and treatment options for cardiovascular disease (CVD), cervical cancer and epilepsy. In addition a number of interventions fall just outside this range, including breast cancer, depression and chronic lung disease treatment. CONCLUSION: Interventions that represent good value for money, are technically feasible and are delivered for a low per-capita cost, are available to address the rapid rise in NCDs in low- and middle-income countries. This paper also describes a tool to support countries in developing NCD action plans.


Noncommunicable Diseases , Africa South of the Sahara , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Asia, Eastern , Female , Humans , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Noncommunicable Diseases/prevention & control , World Health Organization
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